Iraq Elections Scenarios

 Iraq braces up for key parliamentary elections on Saturday, some five months after declaring victory over the Daesh group. Iraqis will vote on Sunday, and, for the first time, their choices won’t be defined by their religion. Iran regime sends thousands dollars to #Iraq for general election, Iraqi people are opposed to Iran’s involvement in per media and twitter reports.

ISIS spokesman called for attacks on the upcoming Iraqi election. This weekend, one of the candidates was shot to death. ISIS has now claimed responsibility for his killing.

#Iraq activists say this is outside the country’s parliament only days before the May 12th general election People chanting: “#Iran, out, out” & something against IRGC Quds Force chief Qassem Suleimani

A lull in violence ahead of the fourth such nationwide vote since Saddam Hussein was toppled in 2003 has spurred some hope for Iraqis, but surging tensions between key players Iran and the United States could rattle the country.

Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi — who has balanced off Washington and Tehran — is angling for a new term as he takes credit for the brutal fightback against the extremist and seeing off a Kurdish push for independence.

Whoever emerges as premier will face the mammoth task of rebuilding a country left shattered by the battle against Daesh.

Despite a rare period of calm, more than two and a half million people remain internally displaced and the extremists still pose a major security threat.

Over 15 blood-sodden years since the US-led invasion upended Iraqi politics there is also widespread disillusionment with the same old faces from an elite seen as mired in corruption and sectarianism.

Overall just under 7,000 candidates are standing and Iraq´s complex system means no single bloc looks set to get anything near a majority in the 329-seat parliament.

“There is certainly a contest between the three main lists for the post of prime minister, but that will not impact the system that sees the Shias control and run Iraq,” said Jordan-based analyst Adel Mahmud.

Among the other groups jostling for position in the negotiations to come is an unlikely alliance between Shia cleric Moqtada Sadr and secular communists that is looking to ride a wave of protests against corruption.

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