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May27, 2018 (C) Ravinder Singh email@example.com
I am observing progress of Congress & BJP in politics since around 1965 since when I followed them at Rallies or On TV.
Karnataka campaign was going well until Rahul Gandhi – never learning immature leader expressed his desire to be Next PM, ‘I Can Be PM If Congress get majority in 2019’ – I instantly knew he has Lost Karnataka – I think Congress could have got 120 seats but had settle for Deputy CM position.
When BJP is in ELECTION MOOD EVERY DAY – Rahul Gandhi is largely inaccessible, Missing in Media for weeks have no idea of local issues that matters most.
Poorly drafted 4 year Progress Report of Government could have been released a week earlier accessed by millions but the version uploaded has two sections in English & Hindi – could have been separately released.
In hour long Interview to WIRE, ex Finance Minister failed to tell that Cost of Refilling LPG Cylinder is more than Earnings of Most Poor Households – Rs.650 which may last couple of weeks only who shall continue to use Freely Available Farm Waste.
The talk of alliance or the idea of alliance is not new – in 1977 opposition united to form Janta Dal and defeated Congress led by Indira Gandhi therefore ALLIANCES ALWAYS WIN IN INDIA. TOI had after Karnataka Elections reported Congress-JDU alliance could have won 151 seats in Karnataka but for Supreme Court intervention was a lost case.
Since 1991 Congress didn’t get majority in Lok Sabha and was in need of alliances – BJP fought election in alliance and steadily in 5 years gained in Seat Share to a point 13 day AB Vajpayee government fell by just one vote in 1966 itself. Vajpayee again formed government for 13 months in 1998, 1999 provided stable government ruled for six years.
Congress saw it all the time yet fought the 2004, 2009, 2014 elections without alliance with major regional parties – managed to run full 5 year terms under Manmohan Singh when had just 141 seats and 205 seats in Lok Sabha than 272 majority number.
In last UP State Elections Congress a year ago was ranked 5th behind BJP, SP, BSP, Apna Dal secured only 7 seats out of 403. Sonia Gandhi and Rahul Gandhi are not secure – may likely lose 2019 LS Elections.
Stuck at just 44 Seats down from 205 that includes mostly over aged or PART TIME Members of Parliament who managed to win in 2014 by very low margins. So Congress is not getting even 10 Seats in 2019 without alliances.
Since 1991 Congress didn’t have a SMART LEADER as Party President in full time job – Narasimha Rao or Sita Ram Kesri or Sonia Gandhi or Rahul Gandhi.
Finally There Is No Connectivity Between WEAK TALKS of Rahul, Chidambaram or Sibal or Jha or Surjewala – People Disconnect. So Can’t Get Even 10 Seats in 2019 Lok Sabha without Alliance.
Ravinder Singh, Inventor & Consultant, INNOVATIVE TECHNOLOGIES AND PROJECTS
Y-77, Hauz Khas, ND -110016, India. Ph: 091- 8826415770, 9871056471, 9650421857
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With a pre-poll tie-up, Cong-JD(S) could’ve won 151, left 69 to BJP
May 17, 2018
How much of a difference to the results would it have made if Congress and JD(S) had a pre-poll alliance in Karnataka? ‘What if’ questions are always hard to answer in politics, but going purely by the arithmetic of the actual results, such an alliance would have won 151 seats leaving the BJP with just 69.
More importantly, if the two parties tie up for the 2019 Lok Sabha polls and if voters stick to the same party preferences — big ifs — BJP would be reduced to just 7 of the state’s 28 seats instead of the 17 it won in 2014, while Congress could raise its tally from 9 to 17. These emerge from the numbers of the 2018 verdict.
Had there been such an opposition alliance, Congress would have won 99 seats instead of the 78 it won and JD (S) would have won 51 seats against its tally of 37. BSP, which was a JD(S) ally, would have won the seat it did, but not gained from an alliance.