Scattered Thunderstorms Likely over Punjab, Karnataka.
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Here’s our latest weather outlook for India
5-Day Nationwide Weather Forecast
Thunderstorms are expected over East and Northeast India due to massive convergence of winds towards Bangladesh and moist air from the Bay of Bengal.
In addition to the above, precipitation is expected over the Trans Himalayas and the western Himalayan region due to a feeble Western Disturbances and induced cyclonic circulations; and South India due to local cyclonic circulations and/or troughs.
Rains are possible over Nicobar Islands due to a cyclonic circulation (CC), although the CC can move northeast with some development in the future. However, the peak of development can be on the evening of Monday, May 11th, over central Bay of Bengal. Then the CC can lose its power, wander off east of the state border between Andhra Pradesh and Odisha from Tuesday afternoon, and finally disappear.
Maximum temperatures will exceed 40 degree Celsius mainly in West & South India due to hot air mass blowing out of the predominant high pressure in the Arabian Sea. Especially on Friday & Saturday, max temperatures can reach or above 45 degree Celsius in the Thar Desert.
In much of Trans Himalayas & W. Himalayan region, minimum temperatures will be extremely higher than normal, at least until the next two weeks.
Heat wave conditions are therefore somewhat likely across wide areas of Western & Southern India
2-Day Regional Forecast
Scattered thunderstorms are expected over Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, much of East India, Assam, Karnataka, Kerala, Jammu, Punjab, Lakshadweep and Nicobar Islands.
Short-term torrential rain is possible over West Bengal in the afternoon, with short-term heavy rain also likely over northeastern Odisha and Arunachal Pradesh from afternoon to evening.
Maximum temperatures of 40 degree Celsius or more are expected over Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka and some parts of Tamil Nadu.
In the morning, dense fog is partially possible over Trans Himalayas and in the areas with relatively high altitude of the western Himalayan.
Scattered thunderstorms are likely over northeastern Odisha, much of Northeast India, Kerala, the plain areas of North India, NCR, the rest of East India, Karnataka and Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
Maximum temperature of 40 degree Celsius or more is expected over Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Gujarat, Maharashtra, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka and some parts of Tamil Nadu.
In the morning, dense fog is partially possible over Trans Himalayas and in the areas with relatively high altitude of the western Himalayan region.